Şanlıurfaspor 3-2 Bandırmaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
44%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.57
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.58
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.57 — our 37% vs market 32.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.67
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
14.05
X/1
16%
6.02
X/2
22%
4.77
X/X
13%
3.97
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.37
2/X
5%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.4pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.5pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Şanlıurfaspor EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 43%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.04/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.25
-43% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
24.6 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.97 xG 1.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
140 Passes 322
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 1-1 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
25.11.2023 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor T1L
30.11.2021 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 5-0 HT 2-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor TÜK
17.03.2019 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor 3-0 HT 1-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor S2-K
27.10.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-K
18.03.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor Şanlıurfaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Şanlıurfaspor
3-2
AWAY Bandırmaspor
1.31 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
295 Passes 253
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Şanlıurfaspor nicked a narrow win over Bandırmaspor 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Şanlıurfaspor had 53% of the ball to Bandırmaspor's 47%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.31 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Şanlıurfaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Şanlıurfaspor and 1.17 for Bandırmaspor.

What was the final score of Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor 3-2 Bandırmaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Şanlıurfaspor vs Bandırmaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Şanlıurfaspor 33%, draw 23%, Bandırmaspor 44%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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