Esenler Erokspor 1-2 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 18 Dec 2024

📅18/12/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Esenler Erokspor EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 40%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.41/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.86
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
365 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Esenler Erokspor
1-2
AWAY İstanbulspor
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İstanbulspor edged past Esenler Erokspor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day İstanbulspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Esenler Erokspor had 46% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 54%, shots finished 14-20.

What was the final score of Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?

Esenler Erokspor 1-2 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - Cup on 18/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Esenler Erokspor vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Esenler Erokspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Esenler Erokspor 38%, draw 28%, İstanbulspor 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Esenler Erokspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
18 Dec 2024
13:00 Boluspor vs 1461 Trabzon FK Analysis →
13:00 GMG Kastamonuspor vs Bodrum FK Analysis →
13:00 Keçiörengücü vs Sivasspor Analysis →
13:00 Çorluspor 1947 vs Kocaelispor Analysis →
13:00 Muş Spor Kulübü vs Antalyaspor Analysis →
15:30 Ümraniyespor vs Fatih Karagümrük Analysis →