Napoli vs Milan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Milan — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Milan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 2-0 Milan — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli saw off Milan 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 47% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the under-2.5 price stood at 1.59, roughly 63%.
The match data tells the story: Milan saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.43 to 1.31.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Napoli against 1.17 for Milan.
Napoli vs Milan Result & Final Score
Napoli 2-0 Milan in the Italy - Super Cup on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Milan Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Napoli 41%, draw 26%, Milan 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.