Milan vs Napoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Milan v Napoli — Team-Based Signals
Milan vs Napoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
1-1
HT 0-1
Milan
ŞMP
1-0
HT 1-0
Napoli
ŞMP
0-4
HT 0-2
Milan
İTA
1-2
HT 0-0
Napoli
İTA
Milan 0-2 Napoli — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli saw off Milan 2-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Napoli made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Milan had 61% of the ball to Napoli's 39%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.69 to 1.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Milan and 0.83 for Napoli.
What was the final score of Milan vs Napoli?
Milan 0-2 Napoli in the Italy - Serie A on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Milan vs Napoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Milan 40%, draw 28%, Napoli 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.