Cagliari 0-2 Bologna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 29 Oct 2024

📅29/10/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 31% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.6
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.35
X/2
8%
4.87
X/X
16%
4.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
3.17
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+0.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.0pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cagliari EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Bologna EU Bookmakers 45%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.18/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.22
+22% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
21.8 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cagliari
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bologna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.68 xG 1.21
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 Passes 484
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.01.2024 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 1-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
02.09.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-1 HT 0-1 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
20.10.2022 Bologna Bologna 1-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTK
11.01.2022 Cagliari Cagliari 2-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
01.11.2021 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 0-0 Cagliari Cagliari İTA
03.03.2021 Cagliari Cagliari 1-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cagliari
0-2
AWAY Bologna
0.81 xG 0.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
273 Passes 436
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cagliari vs Bologna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna saw off Cagliari 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Bologna made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Cagliari had 42% of the ball to Bologna's 58%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.81 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cagliari and 1.17 for Bologna.

What was the final score of Cagliari vs Bologna?

Cagliari 0-2 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 29/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cagliari vs Bologna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Cagliari 32%, draw 28%, Bologna 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bologna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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