Leopards SC 2-1 Ulinzi Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.51
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.7pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulinzi Stars EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.16/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/0.84
-17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leopards SC
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulinzi Stars
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
03.11.2024 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 2-0 HT 0-0 Leopards SC Leopards SC KEN
29.10.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars KEN2
POST-MATCH Leopards SC vs Ulinzi Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leopards SC edged past Ulinzi Stars 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leopards SC as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ulinzi Stars led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Leopards SC and 2.00 for Ulinzi Stars.

What was the final score of Leopards SC vs Ulinzi Stars?

Leopards SC 2-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leopards SC vs Ulinzi Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Leopards SC 52%, draw 27%, Ulinzi Stars 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leopards SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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