Muranga All Stars 1-0 Police — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Dec 2025

Muranga All Stars
1-0 HT 1-0
Police
📅18/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Kenya - Premier League – 2025/2026

Muranga All Stars vs Police Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.04
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
55%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
29%
2.51
No
71%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
23%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
22%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
55%
Away Win
49%
+5.5pp
29%
BTTS Yes
36%
-6.3pp
71%
BTTS No
64%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Muranga All Stars v Police — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muranga All Stars EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Police EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.85/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/0.32
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
233 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Muranga All Stars vs Police Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muranga All Stars
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Police
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
The Meetings
15.03.2025 Police Police 3-1 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
19.01.2025 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars 0-1 HT 0-0 Police Police KEN
03.12.2023 Police Police 2-0 HT 0-0 Muranga All Stars Muranga All Stars KEN
POST-MATCH Muranga All Stars vs Police
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muranga All Stars nicked a narrow win over Police 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Police carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (71%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Police led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Muranga All Stars and 2.00 for Police.

What was the final score of Muranga All Stars vs Police?

Muranga All Stars 1-0 Police in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muranga All Stars vs Police?

Before kick-off our model rated an Police win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Muranga All Stars 16%, draw 30%, Police 55%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Police) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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