Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 Bidco United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Dec 2025

📅18/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
35%
2.63
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
35%
Draw
34%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.3pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kariobangi Sharks EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Bidco United EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.17/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.65
+27% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
167 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kariobangi Sharks
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Bidco United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.01.2025 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 1-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
23.10.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 1-0 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
15.06.2024 Bidco United Bidco United 0-1 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN
17.12.2023 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 0-0 HT 0-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN
03.04.2022 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks 2-1 HT 1-0 Bidco United Bidco United KEN2
16.03.2022 Bidco United Bidco United 1-1 HT 0-0 Kariobangi Sharks Kariobangi Sharks KEN2
POST-MATCH Kariobangi Sharks vs Bidco United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kariobangi Sharks squeezed past Bidco United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Kariobangi Sharks found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kariobangi Sharks had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kariobangi Sharks and 0.67 for Bidco United.

What was the final score of Kariobangi Sharks vs Bidco United?

Kariobangi Sharks 1-0 Bidco United in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kariobangi Sharks vs Bidco United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kariobangi Sharks win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Kariobangi Sharks 35%, draw 35%, Bidco United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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