Falkirk 1-2 Raith Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 19 Jan 2025

Falkirk
1-2 HT 0-0
Raith Rovers
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Cup – 2024/2025

Falkirk vs Raith Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
14%
11.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.23 — our 25% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
62%
-14.2pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.8pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v Raith Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Raith Rovers EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
2.57/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.86
+15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Falkirk vs Raith Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Raith Rovers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Crosses 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 1-0 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKCL
28.09.2024 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
27.11.2021 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İKK
03.03.2020 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
14.12.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-1 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers İK1
05.10.2019 Raith Rovers Raith Rovers 2-2 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1

Falkirk 1-2 Raith Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
1-2
AWAY Raith Rovers
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 7
13 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Raith Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raith Rovers edged past Falkirk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Falkirk had 55% of the ball to Raith Rovers's 45%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raith Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Falkirk and 1.17 for Raith Rovers.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Raith Rovers?

Falkirk 1-2 Raith Rovers in the Scotland - Cup on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Raith Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 48%, draw 26%, Raith Rovers 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Falkirk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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