Amorebieta 2-2 Tarazona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.54
Over
44%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.27
2-3
43%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.75
6+
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Tarazona The Market 31%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.52/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.12
+20% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tarazona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
27.10.2024 Tarazona Tarazona 3-0 HT 1-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
2-2
AWAY Tarazona
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Tarazona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amorebieta and Tarazona couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Amorebieta at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Amorebieta had 63% of the ball to Tarazona's 37%, shots finished 7-13.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Tarazona?

Amorebieta 2-2 Tarazona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Tarazona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amorebieta win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 46%, draw 27%, Tarazona 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Amorebieta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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