Recreativo Huelva 2-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.51
Over
46%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.16
2-3
42%
1.74
4-5
21%
5.07
6+
9%
32.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Recreativo Huelva The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II The Market 34%
+6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +18%
1.28/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.81
+1% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +41%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Recreativo Huelva
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 0-0 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
10.03.2024 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
11.11.2023 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 1-2 HT 0-1 Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Recreativo Huelva
2-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Recreativo Huelva vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Recreativo Huelva nicked a narrow win over Atletico Madrid II 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Recreativo Huelva as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Recreativo Huelva had 41% of the ball to Atletico Madrid II's 59%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Recreativo Huelva had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Recreativo Huelva and 0.67 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Recreativo Huelva vs Atletico Madrid II?

Recreativo Huelva 2-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Recreativo Huelva vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Recreativo Huelva win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Recreativo Huelva 42%, draw 26%, Atletico Madrid II 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Recreativo Huelva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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