Badalona 0-1 Elche II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.59
Over
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No Pick
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
45%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.6pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona The Market 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche II The Market 51%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
208 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Elche II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 0
07.09.2024 Elche II Elche II 3-1 HT 0-1 Badalona Badalona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona
0-1
AWAY Elche II
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Badalona vs Elche II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche II squeezed past Badalona 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elche II as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Badalona had 39% of the ball to Elche II's 61%, shots finished 9-22.

What was the final score of Badalona vs Elche II?

Badalona 0-1 Elche II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona vs Elche II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche II win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Badalona 28%, draw 25%, Elche II 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elche II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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