CD Guadalajara 2-0 Melilla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Melilla EU Bookmakers 26%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.84/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.21
+31% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CD Guadalajara
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Melilla
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.09.2024 Melilla Melilla 1-0 HT 1-0 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
26.02.2023 Melilla Melilla 1-1 HT 0-1 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara İS4
09.10.2022 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS4
15.12.2013 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 0-1 HT 0-0 Melilla Melilla İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CD Guadalajara
2-0
AWAY Melilla
46% Ball Possession 54%
20 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CD Guadalajara vs Melilla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CD Guadalajara beat Melilla 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had CD Guadalajara as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, CD Guadalajara had 46% of the ball to Melilla's 54%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melilla led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for CD Guadalajara and 1.00 for Melilla.

What was the final score of CD Guadalajara vs Melilla?

CD Guadalajara 2-0 Melilla in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CD Guadalajara vs Melilla?

Before kick-off our model rated a CD Guadalajara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split CD Guadalajara 45%, draw 31%, Melilla 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CD Guadalajara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CD Guadalajara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
19 Jan 2025
00:00 Torrent vs UE Olot Analysis →
14:00 CD Aguilas vs UD San Fernando Analysis →
14:00 Rayo Majadahonda vs Illescas Analysis →
14:00 Talavera CF vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
14:00 Tenerife II vs Conquense Analysis →
14:00 Real Madrid III vs Navalcarnero Analysis →