Talavera CF 4-0 Atlético Paso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.67
No
59%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-13.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.5pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+8.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
33%
+8.2pp
59%
BTTS No
67%
-8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.35/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.64
-18% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
401 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Talavera CF
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Atlético Paso
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-2 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
14.04.2024 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
03.12.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
30.04.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
17.12.2022 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-1 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
POST-MATCH Talavera CF vs Atlético Paso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Talavera CF cruised past Atlético Paso 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Talavera CF as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Talavera CF had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Talavera CF and 0.60 for Atlético Paso.

What was the final score of Talavera CF vs Atlético Paso?

Talavera CF 4-0 Atlético Paso in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Talavera CF vs Atlético Paso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Talavera CF win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Talavera CF 51%, draw 28%, Atlético Paso 22%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Talavera CF), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Talavera CF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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