Atlético Paso 1-0 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.44
No
62%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.7pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
37%
+1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
63%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlético Paso EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 33%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.28/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.41
+7% / +64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlético Paso
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Talavera CF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
30.04.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-0 HT 0-0 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso İS4
17.12.2022 Atlético Paso Atlético Paso 1-1 HT 0-1 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
POST-MATCH Atlético Paso vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlético Paso nicked a narrow win over Talavera CF 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Atlético Paso found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Talavera CF led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Atlético Paso and 0.67 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Atlético Paso vs Talavera CF?

Atlético Paso 1-0 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlético Paso vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlético Paso win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Atlético Paso 36%, draw 33%, Talavera CF 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlético Paso), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlético Paso) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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