Cadiz II 2-1 Don Benito — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.56
Over
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
40%
4-5
20%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
36%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz II The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Don Benito The Market 38%
+7% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.52
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz II
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Don Benito
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 5
08.09.2024 Don Benito Don Benito 3-3 HT 0-2 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
17.04.2022 Cadiz II Cadiz II 2-1 HT 1-1 Don Benito Don Benito İS4
27.11.2021 Don Benito Don Benito 2-3 HT 1-0 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS4
17.11.2019 Don Benito Don Benito 1-1 HT 1-1 Cadiz II Cadiz II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz II
2-1
AWAY Don Benito
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cadiz II vs Don Benito
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cadiz II squeezed past Don Benito 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Cadiz II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Cadiz II had 51% of the ball to Don Benito's 49%, shots finished 15-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cadiz II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Cadiz II and 1.75 for Don Benito.

What was the final score of Cadiz II vs Don Benito?

Cadiz II 2-1 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz II vs Don Benito?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Cadiz II 39%, draw 27%, Don Benito 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cadiz II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cadiz II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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