Teruel 2-1 SD Logrones — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.52
Over
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
41%
4-5
17%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Teruel The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY SD Logrones The Market 33%
+20% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.34/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/0.59
+11% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +69% / +89%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Teruel
1W-1D-1L
AWAY SD Logrones
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 SD Logrones SD Logrones 1-1 HT 0-1 Teruel Teruel İS4
09.03.2024 SD Logrones SD Logrones 0-2 HT 0-1 Teruel Teruel İS3
10.12.2023 Teruel Teruel 0-2 HT 0-0 SD Logrones SD Logrones İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Teruel
2-1
AWAY SD Logrones
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Teruel vs SD Logrones
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Teruel nicked a narrow win over SD Logrones 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Teruel found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Teruel had 54% of the ball to SD Logrones's 46%, shots finished 8-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Teruel and 1.00 for SD Logrones.

What was the final score of Teruel vs SD Logrones?

Teruel 2-1 SD Logrones in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Teruel vs SD Logrones?

Before kick-off our model rated a Teruel win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Teruel 37%, draw 31%, SD Logrones 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Teruel) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Teruel) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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