Lecce U20 3-2 Cesena U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.7pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecce U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena U20 EU Bookmakers 25%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
1.57/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.00
-24% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +91%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
306 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecce U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cesena U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.11.2024 Cesena U20 Cesena U20 3-1 HT 0-1 Lecce U20 Lecce U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecce U20
3-2
AWAY Cesena U20
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lecce U20 vs Cesena U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecce U20 edged past Cesena U20 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lecce U20 as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lecce U20 had 46% of the ball to Cesena U20's 54%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Lecce U20 vs Cesena U20?

Lecce U20 3-2 Cesena U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecce U20 vs Cesena U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lecce U20 54%, draw 24%, Cesena U20 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce U20) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecce U20) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İTAPŞ1 More Italy - Primavera Championship
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