Milan U20 0-1 Fiorentina U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.53
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
36%
-7.1pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.2pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/2.00
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -21%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
271 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Fiorentina U20
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2024 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 1-3 HT 0-1 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
0-1
AWAY Fiorentina U20
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Fiorentina U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 edged past Milan U20 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 33% / 39% — and on the day Fiorentina U20 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Milan U20 had 48% of the ball to Fiorentina U20's 52%, shots finished 7-14.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Milan U20 0-1 Fiorentina U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Fiorentina U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 29%, draw 33%, Fiorentina U20 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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