Fiorentina (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 19 Jan 2025

Fiorentina (K)
1-1 HT 1-1
Sassuolo (K)
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italya - Women's Serie A – 2024/2025

Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fiorentina (K) v Sassuolo (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.49/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.57
+89% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +91% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
13.7 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina (K)
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.66 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
313 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.10.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-3 HT 1-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
27.04.2024 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 4-4 HT 4-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
16.03.2024 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
11.12.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) İTKSA
16.09.2023 Fiorentina (K) Fiorentina (K) 2-1 HT 1-1 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA

Fiorentina (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina (K)
1-1
AWAY Sassuolo (K)
1.57 xG 1.75
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 3
390 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 20
37 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina (K) and Sassuolo (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Fiorentina (K) at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Fiorentina (K) had 60% of the ball to Sassuolo (K)'s 40%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.57 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fiorentina (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Fiorentina (K) and 1.60 for Sassuolo (K).

What was the final score of Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Fiorentina (K) 1-1 Sassuolo (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina (K) vs Sassuolo (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina (K) 51%, draw 27%, Sassuolo (K) 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Fiorentina (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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