Elversberg 2-5 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.38
Over Pick
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.87
2-3
36%
1.93
4-5
26%
2.67
6+
15%
6.82
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.97
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
5%
12.1
X/1
12%
5.48
X/2
16%
6.87
X/X
11%
5.66
2/1
6%
21.7
2/2
12%
4.22
2/X
12%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
43%
-7.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg The Market 36%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.30/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.82
-6% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
17.5 Crosses 12.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.44 xG 1.20
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
253 Passes 493
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 30
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Magdeburg Magdeburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
06.04.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
29.10.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
2-5
AWAY Magdeburg
0.88 xG 3.94
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 3
199 Passes 438
72% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg swept aside Elversberg 5-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 37% — and on the day Magdeburg made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Elversberg had 35% of the ball to Magdeburg's 65%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.88 to 3.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Elversberg and 0.33 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Magdeburg?

Elversberg 2-5 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 36%, draw 27%, Magdeburg 37%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Magdeburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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