Magdeburg 0-0 Elversberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.92
6+ Goals
13%
8.49
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 27% vs market 17.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.95
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
4%
11.65
X/1
14%
5.28
X/2
8%
7.04
X/X
17%
5.0
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
18%
4.44
2/X
8%
11.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Elversberg EU Bookmakers 33%
-14% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.37/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.87
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 72%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
12.7 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Elversberg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.06 xG 0.47
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
506 Passes 234
86% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
29.10.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
0-0
AWAY Elversberg
1.49 xG 0.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
465 Passes 290
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
33 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Elversberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Elversberg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Magdeburg had 59% of the ball to Elversberg's 41%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.49 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Elversberg led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Magdeburg and 1.00 for Elversberg.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Elversberg?

Magdeburg 0-0 Elversberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Elversberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 40%, draw 29%, Elversberg 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Magdeburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✓ BTTS No
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