Schalke 04 5-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
10%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 25% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
13%
4.61
X/2
10%
8.14
X/X
13%
5.21
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
15%
5.55
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -1%
1.54/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.58
+3% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.3 Crosses 17.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.10 xG 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
368 Passes 245
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
20.08.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
11.08.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AFK
22.03.2014 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL1
19.10.2013 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-3 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
5-1
AWAY Braunschweig
2.13 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
336 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 ran out comfortable winners over Braunschweig 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 56% of the ball to Braunschweig's 44%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.13 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.00 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig?

Schalke 04 5-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 42%, draw 26%, Braunschweig 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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