Schalke 04 1-0 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

Schalke 04
1-0 HT 0-0
Braunschweig
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.6
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 24% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
11%
7.98
X/X
14%
4.66
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.7
2/2
11%
6.08
2/X
6%
14.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Schalke 04 v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.75/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.59
+13% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 72%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
26.2 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Braunschweig
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.10 xG 1.69
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
363 Passes 207
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-0 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
11.08.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 1-3 HT 1-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AFK
22.03.2014 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 3-1 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL1
19.10.2013 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-3 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1

Schalke 04 1-0 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
1-0
AWAY Braunschweig
1.11 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
384 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 nicked a narrow win over Braunschweig 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Schalke 04 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 50% of the ball to Braunschweig's 50%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 1.11 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Schalke 04 and 1.25 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig?

Schalke 04 1-0 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 45%, draw 27%, Braunschweig 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Schalke 04), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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