Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hertha Berlin v Hamburg — Team-Based Signals
Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-3
HT 1-2
Hamburg
AFK
3-0
HT 2-0
Hertha Berlin
AL2
0-2
HT 0-1
Hertha Berlin
AL1P
0-1
HT 0-0
Hamburg
AL1P
2-0
HT 2-0
Hertha Berlin
HAZ
1-2
HT 1-0
Hertha Berlin
AL1
Hertha Berlin 1-2 Hamburg — Actual Match Statistics
Hamburg squeezed past Hertha Berlin 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Hamburg found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Hertha Berlin had 38% of the ball to Hamburg's 62%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.88 to 1.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hertha Berlin and 1.67 for Hamburg.
What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg?
Hertha Berlin 1-2 Hamburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Hamburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 35%, draw 28%, Hamburg 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.