St. Pauli 3-2 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.39
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.45
X/1
11%
3.79
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
11%
5.2
2/1
11%
23.45
2/2
9%
8.03
2/X
9%
16.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -7%
1.60/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.61
+1% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
388 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
20.7 Crosses 15.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 324
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
11.03.2023 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
03.09.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 0-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
25.04.2021 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
03.01.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
28.01.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli
3-2
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.28 xG 0.46
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 Passes 325
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth
Match summary & frequently asked questions

St. Pauli edged past Greuther Fürth 3-2 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 3 Feb 2024. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Pauli had 58% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 42%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.46.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Pauli and 1.50 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth?

St. Pauli 3-2 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli 52%, draw 25%, Greuther Fürth 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✓ Over 2.5
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