Karlsruher SC 3-2 Nürnberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.87
2-3 Goals
34%
2.05
4-5 Goals
29%
2.59
6+ Goals
17%
5.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.2
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
8%
11.1
X/X
7%
6.93
2/1
8%
19.2
2/2
6%
7.31
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
59%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.73/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.68
-25% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
24.9 Crosses 16.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nürnberg
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.88 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
374 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
32 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
26.11.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
08.04.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
02.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
12.02.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
27.08.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
3-2
AWAY Nürnberg
1.87 xG 1.56
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
325 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Nürnberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC nicked a narrow win over Nürnberg 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 53% of the ball to Nürnberg's 47%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 1.87 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Karlsruher SC and 0.83 for Nürnberg.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Nürnberg?

Karlsruher SC 3-2 Nürnberg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Nürnberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 56%, draw 23%, Nürnberg 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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