Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

Nürnberg
0-1 HT 0-1
Karlsruher SC
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.96 — our 26% vs market 15.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.53
1/2
9%
21.85
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
8%
7.18
X/2
13%
5.0
X/X
10%
5.62
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
26%
2.74
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+9.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.4pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Karlsruher SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.30/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.29
-15% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 78%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
20.2 Crosses 20.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Karlsruher SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.29 xG 1.66
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
297 Passes 358
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 30
20 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-1 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
08.04.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 1-1 HT 0-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
02.10.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-0 HT 1-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
12.02.2022 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 4-1 HT 1-1 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
27.08.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
21.02.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2

Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
0-1
AWAY Karlsruher SC
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
374 Passes 470
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC nicked a narrow win over Nürnberg 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nürnberg had 45% of the ball to Karlsruher SC's 55%, shots finished 8-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nürnberg and 2.17 for Karlsruher SC.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC?

Nürnberg 0-1 Karlsruher SC in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Karlsruher SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 29%, draw 23%, Karlsruher SC 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✗ Over 2.5
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