Magdeburg 1-1 Osnabrück — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.43
Over 2.5
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.55
No
52%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
6.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.01
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
12%
4.21
X/2
9%
10.5
X/X
7%
6.35
2/1
10%
20.0
2/2
10%
7.07
2/X
6%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.4pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.9pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 23%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.39/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.70
-25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
478 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 68%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
16.1 Crosses 16.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magdeburg
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Osnabrück
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.36 xG 0.62
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
443 Passes 194
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-0 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
14.05.2022 Osnabrück Osnabrück 1-5 HT 1-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
11.12.2021 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-1 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
25.03.2018 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
13.10.2017 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-2 HT 0-2 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL3
18.02.2017 Magdeburg Magdeburg 3-0 HT 1-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magdeburg
1-1
AWAY Osnabrück
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
381 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Magdeburg vs Osnabrück
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg and Osnabrück shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Magdeburg had 61% of the ball to Osnabrück's 39%, shots finished 12-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Magdeburg had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Magdeburg and 0.33 for Osnabrück.

What was the final score of Magdeburg vs Osnabrück?

Magdeburg 1-1 Osnabrück in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magdeburg vs Osnabrück?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magdeburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Magdeburg 53%, draw 20%, Osnabrück 27%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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