Wehen Wiesbaden 3-5 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 28 Apr 2024

Wehen Wiesbaden
3-5 HT 2-3
Greuther Fürth
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.78
1/2
6%
33.0
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
18%
4.89
X/2
10%
7.29
X/X
7%
4.95
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
16%
4.9
2/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.6
Value flag · 2/X at 12.6 — our 13% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wehen Wiesbaden v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 32%
-24% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -13%
1.64/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.63
-37% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.6 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Wehen Wiesbaden vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
209 Passes 464
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-0 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
21.02.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
13.09.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
19.04.2009 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 0-1 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
31.10.2008 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-1 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
30.03.2008 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 1-1 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2

Wehen Wiesbaden 3-5 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
3-5
AWAY Greuther Fürth
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
269 Passes 388
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth beat Wehen Wiesbaden 5-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wehen Wiesbaden at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 44% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 56%, shots finished 20-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 1.33 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs Greuther Fürth?

Wehen Wiesbaden 3-5 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wehen Wiesbaden win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 41%, draw 27%, Greuther Fürth 32%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wehen Wiesbaden) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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