Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Viktoria Köln — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
8.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
15%
4.18
X/2
10%
10.15
X/X
8%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.15
2/2
9%
7.66
2/X
8%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.15 — our 11% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Dresden EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Köln EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.96/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.65
+6% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
30.3 Crosses 12.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Dresden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Köln
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.08.2024 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-2 HT 0-0 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
20.04.2024 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 0-2 HT 0-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
10.11.2023 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 1-5 HT 0-3 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
18.02.2023 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 1-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
13.08.2022 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln 2-1 HT 2-1 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden AL3
08.05.2021 Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden 2-0 HT 2-0 Viktoria Köln Viktoria Köln AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Dresden
2-3
AWAY Viktoria Köln
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
39 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dynamo Dresden vs Viktoria Köln
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Köln squeezed past Dynamo Dresden 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dynamo Dresden at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dynamo Dresden had 62% of the ball to Viktoria Köln's 38%, shots finished 25-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dynamo Dresden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Dynamo Dresden and 1.17 for Viktoria Köln.

What was the final score of Dynamo Dresden vs Viktoria Köln?

Dynamo Dresden 2-3 Viktoria Köln in the Germany - 3rd Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Dresden vs Viktoria Köln?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Dresden win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Dresden 53%, draw 23%, Viktoria Köln 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dynamo Dresden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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