Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Brisbane Roar (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Adelaide United (K) squeezed past Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2 away from home. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our model won't enjoy this one — Brisbane Roar (K) at 63% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, Brisbane Roar (K) had 52% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.94 to 2.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.17 for Adelaide United (K).
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Result & Final Score
Brisbane Roar (K) 2 - 3 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 63%, draw 20%, Adelaide United (K) 17%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.