Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 19 Jan 2025

Brisbane Roar (K)
2-3 HT 1-1
Adelaide United (K)
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.6pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.6pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-10.8pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v Adelaide United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -37% / -37%
1.55/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.07
+13% / +77% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
20.0 Crosses 11.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.5

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.77 xG 0.98
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 275
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
23 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
14.12.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
01.02.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
18.11.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
28.01.2018 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 2-4 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2017 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2-3
AWAY Adelaide United (K)
0.94 xG 2.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 282
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
26 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) squeezed past Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Brisbane Roar (K) carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 52% of the ball to Adelaide United (K)'s 48%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.94 to 2.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.17 for Adelaide United (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 Adelaide United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Adelaide United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 58%, draw 18%, Adelaide United (K) 24%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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