Neftçi PFK 1-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 19 Jan 2025

Neftçi PFK
1-1 HT 0-0
Sabah
📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Neftçi PFK vs Sabah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
32%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.2pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neftçi PFK v Sabah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +21%
1.21/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.07
+12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Neftçi PFK vs Sabah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftçi PFK
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Sabah
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1 Corners 7
The Meetings
27.10.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
18.08.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-2 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
25.05.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
21.01.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
29.10.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
20.08.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
POST-MATCH Neftçi PFK vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftçi PFK and Sabah shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Neftçi PFK and 0.83 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Neftçi PFK vs Sabah?

Neftçi PFK 1-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftçi PFK vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Neftçi PFK 36%, draw 33%, Sabah 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
19 Jan 2025
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