Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kapaz v Turan Tovuz — Team-Based Signals
Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Kapaz
AZERS
0-2
HT 0-2
Turan Tovuz
AZERS
1-0
HT 1-0
Turan Tovuz
AZERS
Kapaz ran out comfortable winners over Turan Tovuz 5-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Turan Tovuz at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Kapaz and 2.00 for Turan Tovuz.
What was the final score of Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?
Kapaz 5-2 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kapaz vs Turan Tovuz?
Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kapaz 28%, draw 27%, Turan Tovuz 45%. The final score 5-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.