Turan Tovuz 2-1 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Oct 2024

Turan Tovuz
2-1 HT 1-0
Kapaz
📅25/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2024/2025

Turan Tovuz vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-11.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.1pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Turan Tovuz v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 15%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/2.56
-55% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
421 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.2

Turan Tovuz vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Turan Tovuz
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kapaz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.08.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
22.01.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 2-1 HT 1-1 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
28.10.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 4-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
18.08.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-2 HT 0-2 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
15.04.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 1-0 HT 1-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
11.02.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-0 HT 1-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
POST-MATCH Turan Tovuz vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz nicked a narrow win over Kapaz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Turan Tovuz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Turan Tovuz and 0.50 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Turan Tovuz vs Kapaz?

Turan Tovuz 2-1 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Turan Tovuz vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Turan Tovuz 56%, draw 24%, Kapaz 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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