KRC Genk II 2-2 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
31%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
7.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
13%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.9pp
39%
BTTS No
37%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KRC Genk II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.60/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.59
-8% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 82%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.3 Crosses 20.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KRC Genk II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.12 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
314 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-2 HT 0-1 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
04.02.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-3 HT 0-3 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II BEL2
26.11.2023 KRC Genk II KRC Genk II 1-1 HT 1-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KRC Genk II
2-2
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.57 xG 1.11
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
468 Passes 223
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH KRC Genk II vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KRC Genk II and RFC Seraing couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was KRC Genk II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, KRC Genk II had 63% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 37%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.57 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, KRC Genk II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KRC Genk II and 0.67 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of KRC Genk II vs RFC Seraing?

KRC Genk II 2-2 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KRC Genk II vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a KRC Genk II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KRC Genk II 43%, draw 22%, RFC Seraing 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KRC Genk II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KRC Genk II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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