Borneo FC 3-1 Arema Malang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.9
Over
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
49%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Borneo FC The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arema Malang The Market 28%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.55/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.55
+5% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Borneo FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Arema Malang
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 Passes 294
17.08.2024 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-2 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
21.04.2024 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
06.10.2023 Arema Malang Arema Malang 0-1 HT 0-0 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
24.07.2022 Borneo FC Borneo FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
20.03.2022 Arema Malang Arema Malang 2-2 HT 0-2 Borneo FC Borneo FC ENDL1
10.12.2021 Borneo FC Borneo FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Arema Malang Arema Malang ENDL1
POST-MATCH Borneo FC vs Arema Malang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Borneo FC beat Arema Malang 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 32%) promised a tight game; Borneo FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Borneo FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Borneo FC and 1.00 for Arema Malang.

What was the final score of Borneo FC vs Arema Malang?

Borneo FC 3-1 Arema Malang in the Indonesia League 1 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Borneo FC vs Arema Malang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Borneo FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Borneo FC 40%, draw 27%, Arema Malang 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Borneo FC) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Borneo FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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