19/01/2025
·
17:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
66%
Over
34%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
46%
2-3
32%
4-5
13%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 66% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Draw
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
34%
Home Win
46%
36%
Draw
32%
30%
Away Win
22%
40%
BTTS Yes
36%
60%
BTTS No
64%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chabab Ben Guerir v USM Oujda — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chabab Ben Guerir
The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
USM Oujda
The Market 25%
-12% /
-13%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-6%
0.72/0.71
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.57/1.08
-44%
/
+20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-31%
/
+14%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
4
382 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Chabab Ben Guerir
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
USM Oujda
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chabab Ben Guerir and USM Oujda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match split (34% / 36% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda?
Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 USM Oujda in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chabab Ben Guerir vs USM Oujda?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chabab Ben Guerir 34%, draw 36%, USM Oujda 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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More Morocco - Botola 2
19 Jan 2025