Mouloudia Oujda 1-0 Youssoufia Berrechid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
73%
Over
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.27
No
69%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
42%
2-3
37%
4-5
15%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
31%
BTTS Yes
40%
-8.5pp
69%
BTTS No
60%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda The Market 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid The Market 32%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
4.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.12
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2024 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 HT 0-0 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS
01.10.2023 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 0-0 HT 0-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
15.06.2022 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 HT 0-1 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS
07.11.2021 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 1-0 HT 1-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
03.07.2021 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 3-1 HT 1-1 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid FAS
03.04.2021 Youssoufia Berrechid Youssoufia Berrechid 0-1 HT 0-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
1-0
AWAY Youssoufia Berrechid
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mouloudia Oujda nicked a narrow win over Youssoufia Berrechid 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Mouloudia Oujda made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (69%) came in.

On the day, Mouloudia Oujda had 41% of the ball to Youssoufia Berrechid's 59%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mouloudia Oujda had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mouloudia Oujda and 0.67 for Youssoufia Berrechid.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Mouloudia Oujda 1-0 Youssoufia Berrechid in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Youssoufia Berrechid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 40%, draw 31%, Youssoufia Berrechid 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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