Raja Beni Mellal 2-1 Rapide Oued Zem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.52
Over
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
54%
-0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raja Beni Mellal The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapide Oued Zem The Market 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.99/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.26
+47% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Rapide Oued Zem
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
12.05.2024 Rapide Oued Zem Rapide Oued Zem 2-2 HT 0-1 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS2
12.11.2023 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 3-1 HT 0-0 Rapide Oued Zem Rapide Oued Zem FAS2
09.03.2020 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapide Oued Zem Rapide Oued Zem FAS
27.10.2019 Rapide Oued Zem Rapide Oued Zem 3-1 HT 0-0 Raja Beni Mellal Raja Beni Mellal FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Raja Beni Mellal
2-1
AWAY Rapide Oued Zem
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Raja Beni Mellal vs Rapide Oued Zem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raja Beni Mellal squeezed past Rapide Oued Zem 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raja Beni Mellal as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Raja Beni Mellal had 38% of the ball to Rapide Oued Zem's 62%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Raja Beni Mellal had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Raja Beni Mellal and 1.50 for Rapide Oued Zem.

What was the final score of Raja Beni Mellal vs Rapide Oued Zem?

Raja Beni Mellal 2-1 Rapide Oued Zem in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raja Beni Mellal vs Rapide Oued Zem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raja Beni Mellal win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Raja Beni Mellal 53%, draw 28%, Rapide Oued Zem 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raja Beni Mellal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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