Citizen AA 1-2 Central & Western — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒10:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
51%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.2pp
51%
Away Win
58%
-7.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.6pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Citizen AA EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Central & Western EU Bookmakers 62%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.66/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/0.98
-45% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Citizen AA
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Central & Western
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.09.2024 Central & Western Central & Western 1-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
21.01.2024 Citizen AA Citizen AA 2-3 HT 1-2 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
12.11.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 1-0 HT 1-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
26.03.2023 Central & Western Central & Western 3-1 HT 2-0 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
04.12.2022 Citizen AA Citizen AA 1-2 HT 1-2 Central & Western Central & Western HK2
24.10.2021 Central & Western Central & Western 1-1 HT 0-1 Citizen AA Citizen AA HK2
POST-MATCH Citizen AA vs Central & Western
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central & Western squeezed past Citizen AA 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Central & Western as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central & Western led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Citizen AA and 1.83 for Central & Western.

What was the final score of Citizen AA vs Central & Western?

Citizen AA 1-2 Central & Western in the Hong Kong - HKFA 1st Division on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Citizen AA vs Central & Western?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central & Western win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Citizen AA 28%, draw 21%, Central & Western 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Central & Western), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Central & Western) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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