Emmen 1-2 FC Eindhoven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
30%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.84
6+ Goals
11%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.9
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.7
X/1
16%
4.06
X/2
6%
11.1
X/X
8%
6.34
2/1
7%
20.3
2/2
14%
8.65
2/X
10%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
61%
-14.8pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.2pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emmen EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.41/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.49
-20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
24.3 Crosses 15.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emmen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.17
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
484 Passes 217
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 0-3 HT 0-1 Emmen Emmen HOL2
02.02.2024 Emmen Emmen 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
08.12.2023 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 3-2 HT 1-2 Emmen Emmen HOL2
29.04.2022 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven 1-0 HT 1-0 Emmen Emmen HOL2
13.08.2021 Emmen Emmen 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOL2
28.10.2020 Emmen Emmen 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven HOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emmen
1-2
AWAY FC Eindhoven
1.20 xG 1.71
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 8
363 Passes 293
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Emmen vs FC Eindhoven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Eindhoven edged past Emmen 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Emmen at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Emmen had 53% of the ball to FC Eindhoven's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.20 to 1.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Eindhoven led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emmen and 1.00 for FC Eindhoven.

What was the final score of Emmen vs FC Eindhoven?

Emmen 1-2 FC Eindhoven in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emmen vs FC Eindhoven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Emmen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Emmen 46%, draw 24%, FC Eindhoven 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Emmen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Emmen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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