Marsaxlokk FC 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
49%
-11.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+12.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.10.2024 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 1-3 HT 1-2 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
3-1
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC beat Zabbar St. Patrick 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Marsaxlokk FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 56% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 44%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Marsaxlokk FC 3-1 Zabbar St. Patrick in the MALTP on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 37%, draw 25%, Zabbar St. Patrick 38%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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