Hibernians FC 1-2 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.0pp
20%
Draw
25%
-4.8pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
02.10.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-2 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
20.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
08.01.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
29.08.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.04.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
1-2
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
58% Ball Possession 42%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans edged past Hibernians FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hamrun Spartans as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 58% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 42%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.83 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Hibernians FC 1-2 Hamrun Spartans in the MALTP on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hamrun Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 30%, draw 20%, Hamrun Spartans 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hamrun Spartans) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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