Hibernians FC 0-3 Hamrun Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
1.75
No
65%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.6pp
35%
BTTS Yes
53%
-17.8pp
65%
BTTS No
47%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamrun Spartans EU Bookmakers 33%
-24% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
0.80/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.79
-31% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2024 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-2 HT 0-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
20.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
08.01.2023 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
29.08.2022 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-4 HT 0-2 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans MLTP
16.04.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 1-2 HT 1-1 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
26.02.2022 Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
0-3
AWAY Hamrun Spartans
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamrun Spartans cruised past Hibernians FC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Hamrun Spartans made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 58% of the ball to Hamrun Spartans's 42%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamrun Spartans led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.33 for Hamrun Spartans.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Hibernians FC 0-3 Hamrun Spartans in the Malta - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Hamrun Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 39%, draw 29%, Hamrun Spartans 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hibernians FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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