Birkirkara 0-1 Floriana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.54
Over 2.5
41%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
25%
+2.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
61%
-1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
39%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.5pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Floriana EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.83
+21% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
218 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Floriana
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-3 HT 1-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
03.02.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-2 HT 0-1 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.09.2023 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
21.01.2023 Floriana Floriana 1-2 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
03.09.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
23.04.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 0-0 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
0-1
AWAY Floriana
54% Ball Possession 46%
2 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Floriana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana squeezed past Birkirkara 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Birkirkara had 54% of the ball to Floriana's 46%, shots finished 2-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Birkirkara and 1.33 for Floriana.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Birkirkara 0-1 Floriana in the Malta - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Floriana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 27%, draw 31%, Floriana 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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