Sliema Wanderers 3-1 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 21 Dec 2024

📅21/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.57
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.64
Over 2.5
37%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
24%
2/1
11%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
59%
-13.3pp
34%
Draw
25%
+8.8pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
57%
+5.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
43%
-5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 19%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +25%
1.85/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.53
+26% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sliema Wanderers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mosta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.08.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
30.03.2024 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAK
10.02.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
27.09.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
20.02.2022 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
31.10.2021 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-3 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sliema Wanderers
3-1
AWAY Mosta
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers got the better of Mosta 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sliema Wanderers had 45% of the ball to Mosta's 55%, shots finished 5-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sliema Wanderers and 1.00 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta?

Sliema Wanderers 3-1 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 21/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sliema Wanderers vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sliema Wanderers 46%, draw 34%, Mosta 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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