Atlante 5-0 CA La Paz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.25
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
76%
-8.2pp
18%
Draw
15%
+2.7pp
14%
Away Win
9%
+5.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlante EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY CA La Paz EU Bookmakers 11%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
2.19/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/2.48
+8% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -25%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
385 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlante
3W-2D-0L
AWAY CA La Paz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
03.08.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 2-2 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
08.02.2024 CA La Paz CA La Paz 0-0 HT 0-0 Atlante Atlante MEK2
17.08.2023 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 0-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
13.04.2023 CA La Paz CA La Paz 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlante Atlante MEK2
01.07.2022 Atlante Atlante 3-0 HT 1-0 CA La Paz CA La Paz MEK2
POST-MATCH Atlante vs CA La Paz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlante cruised past CA La Paz 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Atlante as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Atlante had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlante and 0.60 for CA La Paz.

What was the final score of Atlante vs CA La Paz?

Atlante 5-0 CA La Paz in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlante vs CA La Paz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlante win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Atlante 68%, draw 18%, CA La Paz 14%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlante), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atlante) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
19 Jan 2025
21:00 Leones Negros Udeg vs Dorados De Sinaloa Analysis →