Leones Negros Udeg 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
4%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.4pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.5pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +2%
2.54/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.42
+25% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -24%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
444 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leones Negros Udeg
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Dorados De Sinaloa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
04.08.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
21.03.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
15.09.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
21.04.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
29.09.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
31.01.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
POST-MATCH Leones Negros Udeg vs Dorados De Sinaloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg ran out comfortable winners over Dorados De Sinaloa 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leones Negros Udeg and 0.17 for Dorados De Sinaloa.

What was the final score of Leones Negros Udeg vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Leones Negros Udeg 4-0 Dorados De Sinaloa in the Mexico - Primera A on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leones Negros Udeg vs Dorados De Sinaloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Leones Negros Udeg 57%, draw 25%, Dorados De Sinaloa 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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