Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
42%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.6pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.1pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-10.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg EU Bookmakers 56%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.52/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+53% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorados De Sinaloa
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Leones Negros Udeg
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
21.03.2024 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 1-2 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
15.09.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 4-0 HT 3-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
21.04.2023 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 2-0 HT 1-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
29.09.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-2 HT 0-0 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
31.01.2022 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 HT 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg MEK2
13.08.2021 Leones Negros Udeg Leones Negros Udeg 0-0 HT 0-0 Dorados De Sinaloa Dorados De Sinaloa MEK2
POST-MATCH Dorados De Sinaloa vs Leones Negros Udeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leones Negros Udeg nicked a narrow win over Dorados De Sinaloa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leones Negros Udeg as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leones Negros Udeg led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Dorados De Sinaloa and 1.83 for Leones Negros Udeg.

What was the final score of Dorados De Sinaloa vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Dorados De Sinaloa 0-1 Leones Negros Udeg in the Mexico - Primera A on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorados De Sinaloa vs Leones Negros Udeg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leones Negros Udeg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dorados De Sinaloa 24%, draw 34%, Leones Negros Udeg 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leones Negros Udeg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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